Middle Tennessee
W-L: (22-27) PR = 90.2484Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 1- 5 206 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 3-11 207 A Southern SWAC ( 2- 3, 87.3) 11- 1 207 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 0- 4 208 A North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 2- 4 213 H Canisius MAAC ( 1- 2, 89.7) 2- 3 213 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 1- 4, 88.6) 4- 5 214 A Ohio MA ( 5- 3, 91.9) 3- 6 214 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 1- 4, 88.6) 6- 1 220 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0- 8 220 H Lindenwood OV ( 1- 3, 89.7) 5- 1 221 H Lindenwood OV ( 1- 3, 89.7) 4- 1 221 A Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 9- 2 222 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 227 H UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 9- 3 227 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 4- 3 228 H UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 7- 4 228 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 7- 8 307 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 11- 5 308 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 15- 4 311 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 9- 1 313 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 0-10 314 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 0- 9 315 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 6- 8 318 A UT Martin OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 7- 4 320 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 5 321 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 5 322 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 5- 7 327 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 3 328 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 3- 2 329 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 2 402 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 4- 6 403 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3-13 404 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 11- 9 407 A Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 11- 5 410 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 1- 9 411 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 4 412 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2- 4 415 H Tennessee State OV ( 0- 1, 87.0) 7- 3 417 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 4 418 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 7- 5 419 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 0- 1 422 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 5- 4 422 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 7- 6 424 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 3-13 425 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4-13 426 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 5- 3 430 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 4- 3 501 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 7- 6 502 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 2-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H North Alabama 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62
206 A Troy 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.75
207 A Southern 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.81
207 H Chattanooga 0- 4 -4 3 --- -6.54
208 A North Alabama 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.14
213 H Canisius 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.25
213 A Bellarmine 4- 5 -1 1 -1.92
214 A Ohio 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.62
214 H Bellarmine 6- 1 5 2 + 2.59
220 A Florida 0- 8 -8 -8 0.18
220 H Lindenwood 5- 1 4 1 + 2.73
221 H Lindenwood 4- 1 3 1 1.73
221 A Longwood 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.32
227 H UT Martin 9- 3 6 4 + 2.41
227 H Akron 4- 3 1 0 0.63
228 H UT Martin 7- 4 3 4 -0.59
228 H Akron 7- 8 -1 0 -1.37
307 A Kennesaw State 11- 5 6 2 ++ 4.48
308 A Kennesaw State 15- 4 11 2 +++ 9.48
311 H UT Arlington 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.16
313 H Liberty 0-10 -10 -1 --- -8.62
314 H Liberty 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -7.62
315 H Liberty 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.62
318 A UT Martin 7- 4 3 2 0.89
320 A Western Kentucky 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.08
321 A Western Kentucky 0- 5 -5 -4 -0.92
322 A Western Kentucky 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.08
327 H California Baptist 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.78
328 H James Madison 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.74
329 A Sam Houston 1- 2 -1 -2 1.13
402 H Louisiana Tech 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.20
403 H Louisiana Tech 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.20
404 H Louisiana Tech 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.80
407 A Austin Peay 11- 5 6 2 + 3.94
410 A Delaware 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.06
411 A Delaware 3- 4 -1 -2 0.94
412 A Delaware 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.06
415 H Tennessee State 7- 3 4 4 0.00
417 H New Mexico State 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.07
418 H New Mexico State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.93
422 H Wisconsin 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.84
422 H Memphis 7- 6 1 2 -0.53
424 A Jacksonville State 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.74
425 H Western Kentucky 4-13 -9 -3 --- -6.40
426 H Illinois 5- 3 2 1 1.01
430 A Tennessee 4- 3 1 -7 +++ 8.41
501 H FIU 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.65
502 H FIU 2-15 -13 -2 --- -11.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Chattanooga 0- 4 -4 3 --- -6.54 313 H Liberty 0-10 -10 -1 --- -8.62 314 H Liberty 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -7.62 403 H Louisiana Tech 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.20 410 A Delaware 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.06 425 H Western Kentucky 4-13 -9 -3 --- -6.40 502 H FIU 2-15 -13 -2 --- -11.35 206 H North Alabama 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62 206 A Troy 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.75 424 A Jacksonville State 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.74 213 H Canisius 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.25 417 H New Mexico State 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Southern 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.81 308 A Kennesaw State 15- 4 11 2 +++ 9.48 311 H UT Arlington 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.16 430 A Tennessee 4- 3 1 -7 +++ 8.41 221 A Longwood 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.32 307 A Kennesaw State 11- 5 6 2 ++ 4.48 214 H Bellarmine 6- 1 5 2 + 2.59 220 H Lindenwood 5- 1 4 1 + 2.73 227 H UT Martin 9- 3 6 4 + 2.41 320 A Western Kentucky 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.08 322 A Western Kentucky 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.08 328 H James Madison 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.74 404 H Louisiana Tech 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.80 407 A Austin Peay 11- 5 6 2 + 3.94 418 H New Mexico State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.93 422 H Wisconsin 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.84 501 H FIU 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.65 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 1- 5 -9.53 9.84 -0.74 0.51 -2.64
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 3-11 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.51 -1.65
3 A Southern ( 2- 3, 87.3) 11- 1 -12.59 6.78 0.74 0.51 7.74
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 0- 4 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.51 -3.14
3 A North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 2- 4 -9.53 9.84 0.74 0.51 -2.26
3 H Canisius ( 1- 2, 89.7) 2- 3 -10.16 9.21 -0.74 0.51 -2.80
3 A Bellarmine ( 1- 4, 88.6) 4- 5 -11.32 8.05 0.74 0.51 -2.72
3 A Ohio ( 5- 3, 91.9) 3- 6 -8.01 11.36 0.74 0.51 -1.87
3 H Bellarmine ( 1- 4, 88.6) 6- 1 -11.32 8.05 -0.74 0.51 7.52
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0- 8 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.51 -0.38
3 H Lindenwood ( 1- 3, 89.7) 5- 1 -10.18 9.19 -0.74 0.51 8.69
3 H Lindenwood ( 1- 3, 89.7) 4- 1 -10.18 9.19 -0.74 0.51 8.69
3 A Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 9- 2 -12.07 7.30 0.74 0.51 8.27
3 H UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 9- 3 -12.50 6.87 -0.74 0.51 6.30
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 4- 3 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.51 9.62
3 H UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 7- 4 -12.50 6.87 -0.74 0.51 6.30
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 7- 8 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.51 -2.58
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 11- 5 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.51 8.44
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 15- 4 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.51 8.44
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 9- 1 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.51 10.16
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 0-10 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.51 -2.13
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 0- 9 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.51 -2.13
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 6- 8 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.51 -2.13
3 A UT Martin ( 0- 8, 87.4) 7- 4 -12.50 6.87 0.74 0.51 7.83
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 4- 5 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.51 -1.43
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 0- 5 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.51 -1.43
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 5- 7 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.51 -1.43
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0- 3 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.51 -1.91
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 3- 2 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.51 11.79
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 2 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.51 -1.93
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 4- 6 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.51 -2.02
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3-13 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.51 -2.02
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 11- 9 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.51 11.85
3 A Austin Peay ( 0- 7, 87.4) 11- 5 -12.45 6.92 0.74 0.51 7.88
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 1- 9 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 3- 4 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2- 4 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.51 -1.98
3 H Tennessee Stat ( 0- 1, 87.0) 7- 3 -12.91 6.46 -0.74 0.51 5.88
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 0- 4 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.51 -2.24
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 7- 5 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.51 10.95
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 0- 1 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.51 -2.24
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 5- 4 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.51 12.92
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 7- 6 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.51 8.42
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 3-13 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.51 -1.13
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 4-13 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 0.51 -1.81
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 5- 3 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.51 8.98
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 4- 3 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.51 17.62
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 7- 6 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.51 11.70
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 2-15 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.51 -2.06
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151.96
|
winning pts = 205.9922 losing points = -54.0358
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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